金石数据全球财经早餐会| 2024 年 4 月 8 日

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今日精选

美国3月非农就业人数超预期

美联储官员再次发表鹰派言论

伊朗报复迫在眉睫？美国和以色列高度戒备！

加沙多方谈判取得重要进展

芝商所上调黄金和白银期货保证金

沙特阿美公司上调五月亚洲阿拉伯原油价格

特斯拉宣布八月推出无人驾驶出租车

何立峰与美国财长耶伦举行会谈

纯金首饰零售价逼近720元每克

中国央行连续17个月增持黄金

市场回顾

上周五，美元指数因超预期的非农数据打压了市场对美联储降息的预期，美元指数短线跳涨，但美股开盘后迅速回吐涨幅，最终收涨0.062%，104.29。美国国债收益率集体反弹。美国10年期国债收益率重回4.4%关口，最终收于4.406%。对美联储政策利率最为敏感的2年期美国国债收益率收于4.759%。

原本

非农数据公布后，现货金转短线下跌，但随后再创新高，盘中一度触及2330美元，最终收涨1.7%至2329.83美元/盎司，录得周线三连阳；现货白银收涨2.13%至27.48美元/盎司，创2021年6月以来新高。

受欧洲和中东地缘政治紧张局势、供应紧张担忧以及全球燃料需求前景改善迹象的支撑，原油价格维持在去年10月以来的最高水平附近，并连续第四周上涨。 WTI原油一度站上87关口，但尾盘回落，最终收跌0.09%至86.67美元/桶；布伦特原油收跌 0.2%，至每桶 90.87 美元。

美国三大股指高开高收，道琼斯工业平均指数涨0.8%，标普500指数涨1.1%，纳指涨1.2%。贵金属板块领涨，Cordell Mining (CDE.N) 上涨逾 12%，Meta Platforms (META.O) 上涨逾 3%，Nvidia (NVDA.O) 上涨 2.4%，特斯拉 (TSLA.O) 上涨 2.4%。 O) 下降 3.6%。

欧洲主要股指全线收低，其中德国DAX指数收盘下跌1.24%，英国富时100指数收盘下跌0.81%，欧洲STOXX 50指数收盘下跌1.1%。

A股因清明节假期休市。

Hong Kong stocks fluctuated throughout the day to find direction. The Hang Seng Index opened low and fell in the morning, and then rebounded after touching the support of the 100-day moving average. It turned positive in the afternoon and hovered above 16,700 points to find direction; technology stocks underperformed the market, dragging the index down more than 2% in the morning, and the decline narrowed to nearly flat in the afternoon. As of the close, the Hang Seng Index closed down 0.01% at 16,723.92 points; the Hang Seng Technology Index closed down 0.29% at 3,450.89 points. As of the close, the Hang Seng market turnover was HK$73.615 billion (the turnover on the previous trading day was HK$99.787 billion). On the market, in terms of individual stocks, China Oilfield Services (02883.HK) plunged 16.11% as the company was notified by customers to suspend operations on four drilling platforms. The major shareholder of Langham-SS (01270.HK) proposed privatization and the stock surged 41.38% after resuming trading. SenseTime (00020.HK) closed down 4.41% and WuXi AppTec (02359.HK) closed down 5.51%.

International News

1. The number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 303,000 in March, far exceeding expectations. The number of new jobs in January and February was revised up by 22,000. The unemployment rate fell slightly to 3.8% in March, lower than the expected and previous value of 3.9%. The average hourly wage in March increased by 0.3% month-on-month, higher than 0.2% in February. After the data was released, U.S. interest rate futures priced in two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024, and the probability of a rate cut in June was reduced to nearly 50%. The swap market will fully price in the date of the Federal Reserve's first rate cut to be postponed from July to September.

2. Fed officials spoke - Board member Bowman: Now is not the time to lower interest rates. If inflation remains high, further rate hikes may be needed. Dallas Fed President Logan: Given the upward risk of inflation, it is too early to talk about rate cuts. The Fed will soon decide when to slow down the reduction of its balance sheet.

3. A senior adviser to Iran's supreme leader said the Israeli embassy is "no longer safe". Iran's semi-official news agency released the names and pictures of nine Iranian missiles that can hit Israel. Iran warned the United States: Stay away from Israel and avoid harm. US officials said Iran could launch a major attack as early as this week. Israel temporarily closed 28 embassies abroad on the 5th. The Israeli military: We are fully prepared to deal with possible actions taken by Iran.

4. The US pressure on Israel was effective, and the multi-party negotiations in Gaza made important progress. Israel withdrew its troops from southern Gaza on a large scale. The Israeli Defense Minister said that the withdrawal was aimed at preparing for the military operation in Rafah.

5. The Iraqi militia Islamic Resistance Organization launched an attack on an "important target" in the southern Israeli city of Eilat. The Yemeni Houthi armed forces launched rockets and drones at a British ship, two Israeli ships and some US frigates in the Red Sea.

6. Russia-Ukraine conflict - Tajikistan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The allegation that the Ukrainian Embassy recruited mercenaries in Tajikistan to participate in anti-Russian activities is false. The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense said that an oil pipeline in Rostov Oblast, Russia, was blown up. The Ukrainian side said that Kharkiv was attacked by Russian missiles, and the death toll rose to 7. The Zaporizhia Nuclear Power Plant said that the Ukrainian drone attack did not pose a threat to the safety of the nuclear power plant.

7. The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs summoned the South Korean ambassador to Russia to protest South Korea's unilateral sanctions on Russian legal entities and individuals over the North Korea issue.

8. Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) raised the margin for gold futures by 6.8% and the margin for silver futures by 11.8%.

9. Russia plans to impose additional taxes on gold to make up for the reduction in exports.

10. A gold mine in Peru was attacked by an illegal mining group, resulting in one death and two injuries.

11. Saudi Aramco raised the price of its Arab light crude oil sold to Asia in May to a premium of $2 per barrel over the benchmark oil price.

12. A 4.8-magnitude earthquake occurred in the Greater New York area of ​​New Jersey, USA, and flights were suspended at New York's Kennedy Airport and Newark Airport.

13. US media: The US will strictly review “small exemption” shipments.

14. The International Monetary Fund confirmed that Georgieva is the only candidate for the next president.

15. According to US media, Musk's artificial intelligence company xAI may raise $3 billion and its valuation is expected to reach $18 billion. In response to rumors that Tesla has abandoned its low-cost car plan, Musk said: The media is lying. On the same day, he posted that Tesla will launch the self-driving taxi Robotaxi on August 8. Tesla China launched a 0 interest installment policy for car purchases.

16. Because Ecuadorian police broke into the Mexican Embassy in Ecuador and arrested the former Ecuadorian Vice President, Mexico severed diplomatic relations with Ecuador. All staff of the Mexican Embassy in Ecuador have left Ecuador and returned to Mexico.

17. A fire broke out on an offshore oil drilling platform in Mexico, injuring at least 10 people.

18. The Orsk Refinery in Orenburg Oblast, Russia, suspended operations due to a local dam breach caused by floods.

Domestic News

1. He Lifeng held talks with U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Both sides agreed to discuss issues such as balanced growth of the U.S., China and the world economy, financial stability, sustainable finance, and anti-money laundering cooperation under the China-U.S. Economic and Financial Working Group. U.S. Embassy in China: Yellen held a roundtable discussion with economic experts in Guangzhou. Premier Li Qiang met with Yellen at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on the morning of April 7.

2. The price of pure gold jewelry is about 720 yuan per gram. During the Qingming Festival, the price of gold in the domestic retail market continued to soar and set a new high.

3. China's central bank increased its gold reserves for the 17th consecutive month.

4. With a quota of 500 billion yuan and an interest rate of 1.75%, the People's Bank of China has established a re-loan for scientific and technological innovation and technological transformation to support scientific and technological innovation, technological transformation and equipment upgrades.

5. The China-US Trade Working Group held its first vice-ministerial meeting, and both sides agreed to strengthen discussions on specific standards issues of concern to the industry.

6. Foreign Minister Wang Yi held talks with Vietnamese Foreign Minister Bui Thanh Son in Guangxi. Vietnamese National Assembly Chairman Vuong Dinh Hue will lead a delegation to visit China from April 7 to 12.

7. During the three-day Qingming Festival holiday, 119 million people traveled domestically across the country, an increase of 11.5% on a comparable basis over the same period in 2019.

8. The Hualien earthquake in Taiwan has caused 13 deaths and 1,145 injuries. Six people are still missing. There have been more than 600 aftershocks since the 3rd.

9. Michael Wong, Deputy Financial Secretary of Hong Ko

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