时间：2024-03-21|浏览：266
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After the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged in the morning, Powell rarely turned dovish in subsequent remarks, saying that the Federal Reserve's work was in place, inflation had dropped significantly, and there was a need to adjust economic policies during the year. The market generally believes that the probability of a new round of interest rate cuts in May or June has greatly increased. U.S. stocks and gold have surged, the U.S. dollar index has fallen, and the market has rebounded against the trend.
Will the big pie directly return to the previous high position because of this? The answer is also obvious: there are currently difficulties in capital gaming. Yesterday, Uncle San said that from a technical point of view, the pie has not stopped falling. In the short term, if the market goes against the trend, the most likely possibility is that there is a relatively large adjustment in the macro environment, and then Lao Bao comes to pull the market, and the pie has gone out of its positive and negative aspects. The daily pattern of the stock market followed the general rise.
But on another macro level, ETFs had a net outflow for the third consecutive day yesterday. Grayscale GBTC had a net outflow of about 5,900 pieces. The inflows of all other ETF institutions added up to just over a thousand pieces yesterday. Therefore, the market has given a very definite answer as to whether the short-term market can stop falling, but whether it can return to the previous high is still a big question mark.
Uncle San is inclined to continue the high adjustment of the market. From a technical and data perspective, 63,000 points below is a perfect medium- and long-term entry point. The billion-dollar short selling pressure on the 69,000 points above still exists objectively. The amplitude will be expanded at the current high level to continue to clear short-term leverage and It is very necessary to short-term energy.
At this stage, it is very easy for copycats to experience rotation in some hot spots. The sector that performed better during the day was the Ethereum-related part. Ether’s nearly eight-point increase was also behind the market, but it is expected to be difficult to maintain. In the short and medium term, the post-Cancun bubble of Ethereum is almost exhausted, and some main chains are expected to reach new highs, among which the focus is still on arb, op, ssv, etc.
BlackRock yesterday launched BUIDL, its first tokenized fund issued on a public blockchain. BUIDL is essentially a stable asset anchored to the U.S. dollar. In terms of application, it should be the first time that the RWA sector has been implemented. Therefore, Polyx, Tur, and Ondo of this concept directly ranked at the top of the gainer list during the day. If there is a chance of a correction in the later period, you can continue to buy some.
Then there are the sequences that can definitely rotate on the timeline, such as the HK Carnival starting in April, the European Cup in June, etc. The concept will definitely create hype. Regarding the Ethereum spot ETF in May, there is currently bad news in the market. The Ethereum Foundation has been investigated, and the proposal that ETH is a security has been put out again. I won’t talk about the Ethereum ecology. There is quite a lot to say. One more point is that if there is a more gratifying correction in Ethereum, it must be right to just cancel it.
When negative news or research on its nature is put in front of all retail investors, it means that the main force has no other means to create pressure to force retail investors to abandon their chips. Therefore, Sanshu rationally believes that ETH will definitely break through the historical high before the end of May.
It is less than a month before the pie is halved. Will there be a halving crisis like in the past? At present, Uncle San believes that there is a high probability that it will not happen. This bull market is destined to be different. No matter what the short-term outflows and inflows between institutions are, the macro order of international finance is much better than a few years ago, and stability has become the focus of every region. Therefore, after overcoming the impact of some corrections and fluctuations, we will still belong to the currency holders who make money in the medium and long term.
BTC: The turning point of the market has appeared in the past two days. The short-term general direction has stopped falling, and the market has returned to a high and volatile situation. The strength of the short- and medium-term rebound depends on the strength of institutional buying. In terms of operation, those who bought the bottom in the past few days have all made money. The best short-term bottom buying position is 63,000 points. I am not sure whether it will give opportunities again. Just focus on this position. Next, focus on the breakthrough of 69,000 points. The cyclical bull market has not changed. Wait patiently. Let’s have a new round of big pie explosion.
ETH: Ether has been replenished by 10%, so I won’t pay attention to it in the short term.
OP, ARB, SSV, AVAX, NEAR, etc., which are short-term bargain hunters, have all rebounded by at least a dozen points. Some HK concepts have even reached a height of 20%. Hold in the band and sell appropriately when there is profit. The next sector to focus on is the L2-related series. In addition, gamefi shows signs of restarting.
Finally, stay away from leverage and stock up on spot stocks! #热门话题 #ETH #BTC $BTC
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