价格分析 3/18：SPX、DXY、BTC、ETH、SOL、BNB、XRP、ADA、AVAX、DOG

时间：2024-03-19|浏览：248

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比特币（BTC）在过去几天出现获利盘，但空头无法将价格压低至 64,500 美元以下。

然而，如果历史重演，比特币可能会面临新的抛售压力。

加密货币分析师 Rekt Capital 在 X 帖子中表示，当比特币趋于回调时，它即将进入“危险区”。

该时期恰好是减半前的 14 至 28 天，预计在本周期的 4 月 20 日减半。

2020 年，比特币在此期间下跌了 20%，而 2016 年，回调幅度为 40%。

每日加密货币市场表现。

来源：

Coin360

分析师将密切关注现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的资金流入。

如果比特币回调期间资金流入保持稳定，那么上升趋势持续的可能性仍然很高。

然而，如果资金流入大幅枯竭，那么下一阶段的上升趋势可能会延迟。

比特币和山寨币需要注意哪些重要支撑位？

让我们分析一下图表来找出答案。

标准普尔 500 指数价格分析

标准普尔 500 指数上周从 5,180 点下跌，但从上升通道形态的支撑线反弹。

SPX 日线图。

来源：

TradingView

多头将试图推动价格突破 5,189 点上方阻力位。

如果他们成功，该指数可能会攀升至该通道的阻力线。

这一水平可能会吸引空头的强劲抛售。

如果价格从阻力线下跌，指数可能会在通道内停留一段时间。

如果买家将价格推至通道上方，则上升趋势可能会加速。

该指数随后可能会跃升至 5,450 点。

下行方面，跌破 20 日指数移动平均线（5,100）可能会开始下跌至 50 日简单移动平均线（4,972）。

美元指数价格分析

美元指数（DXY）已回落至移动平均线，表明较低水平的买盘强劲。

DXY 日线图。

来源：

TradingView

两条均线均已趋于平缓，RSI 接近中点，表明供需平衡。

如果价格保持在移动平均线之上，该指数可能会升至 105，预计空头将在此进行强有力的防御。

或者，如果价格从移动平均线转向下跌，空头将再次尝试将指数跌至 102。这一水平可能会吸引强劲的买盘，因为如果该水平破裂，指数可能会跌至 101。

比特币价格分析

3 月 17 日，比特币从 20 日均线（65,830 美元）反弹，表明多头继续逢低买入至强支撑位。

BTC/USDT 日线图。

来源：

TradingView

The BTC/USDT pair faces resistance at the breakdown level from the ascending channel pattern. If the price turns lower and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will signal that the bears have flipped the channel’s support line into resistance. That increases the risk of a fall to $59,000.

Instead, if the bulls push the price back into the channel, it will suggest that the markets have rejected the breakdown. The bulls will again try to drive the pair to $73,777. A break above this level will open the doors for a potential rise to $80,000.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) plunged below the 20-day EMA ($3,619) on March 16, but the bears are struggling to sustain the lower levels.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are trying to push the price back above the 20-day EMA and trap the aggressive bears. If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair could attempt a rally toward the overhead resistance of $4,093. A break above this level will indicate the resumption of the uptrend.

Contrarily, if the price turns down and breaks below $3,400, it will suggest that the sentiment has turned negative and traders are selling on rallies. The pair could then slide to $3,200 and later to the 50-day SMA ($3,077).

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) has been in a strong uptrend for several days, with no signs of a slowdown. The bears tried to start a pullback on March 15, but the bulls aggressively purchased the dip.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price has reached the overhead resistance of $205, which may prove to be a formidable hurdle to cross. However, if the bulls prevail, the SOL/USDT pair could start its journey toward the all-time high of $260.

The risk to the upside is that the RSI has risen deep into the overbought territory, suggesting that the rally may be extended in the short term. This points to a possible consolidation or correction in the near term. The support to watch on the downside is the 20-day EMA ($156). A break below this level will suggest a short-term trend change.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) has pulled back in a strong uptrend, but a minor positive is that the bulls have not allowed the price to dip below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $534.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The rising moving averages and the RSI in the positive territory suggest that bulls have the upper hand. If the price rises above $591, the BNB/USDT pair could retest the overhead resistance at $645.

On the contrary, if the price turns down and breaks below $534, it will suggest that bears are in the driver’s seat. The pair could then tumble to the 20-day EMA ($509). This is a crucial support to watch out for because a break below it may accelerate selling and sink the pair to $460.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) slipped below the 20-day EMA ($0.62) on March 16, indicating that the bulls are losing their grip.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

3 月 17 日，买家试图复苏，但无法清除 20 日均线的上方障碍。

价格已从 3 月 18 日的 20 日均线转向走低，表明空头在较高水平上活跃。

XRP/USDT 货币对可能会跌至上升趋势线。

与此同时，多头可能还有其他计划。

他们将努力推动该货币对突破 20 日均线并开始强劲复苏。

该货币对可能首先攀升至 0.67 美元，然后升至上方阻力位 0.74 美元。

相关：以太坊 ETF 的可能性低于比特币 ETF：Recharge Capital 创始人

卡尔达诺价格分析

卡尔达诺 (ADA) 于 3 月 17 日从 50 日均线（0.62 美元）反弹，但多头在 3 月 18 日努力将价格推至 20 日均线（0.70 美元）上方。