Bitcoin价格走势预测

Bitcoin has been going too strong recently, and there has been no decent correction.I do think that at this time, the more the lever needs to be lowered, the pin is already on the way.This time Bitcoin's big market is mainly due to the expectation of monetary easing at the end of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the expectation of halving of Bitcoin mining rewards.Needless to say, expectations of monetary easing. I have talked about this many times when talking about funds. Obviously, when the Federal Reserve actually cuts interest rates in the future, abundant liquidity will still make the pie go up. In other words, the mid- to long-term trend of the pie will undoubtedly continue to move upward.However, I think the expectation of halving Bitcoin mining rewards has started to rise sharply recently because of this expectation, but this is actually a bit problematic.The total amount of Bitcoin is actually fixed, which is 21 million. It will not produce more because miners mine more, but it will not be consumed either. This is different from our impression that the relationship between supply and demand determines prices. For example, if there is less oil output, the price will be higher, and if there is less natural gas output, the price will be higher. Bitcoin will not be consumed, and because its total amount is fixed, it is more like gold and is a weapon against inflation.Since it is a weapon against inflation, it should be linked to the monetary policy we mentioned earlier, and should not be so-called strongly correlated with the expected halving of Bitcoin mining rewards (although it was indeed strongly correlated in the past). In particular, now that it is the fourth halving, the extent of production reduction is actually relatively limited. Therefore, I believe that Bitcoin’s mid- to long-term trend is upward. There is no doubt about this (because of the expectations of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut). However, in the short term, it is likely that due to the game of funds in anticipation of the halving, Bitcoin will have subsequent pin-in behavior.In fact, in the final analysis, it is best to reduce the leverage of the big pie at the moment, and it is best to hold spot stocks. In this way, you can sleep well regardless of the ups and downs, and in the long run, you will definitely make money.

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