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过去几天,比特币(BTC)一直横盘整理,表明多头和空头之间正在展开一场艰苦的战斗。 卖方会压倒买方并开始短期调整,还是买方会脱颖而出? 这是每个加密货币投资者心中的问题。
美联储提前降息的希望逐渐减弱,导致标准普尔 500 指数获利回吐。 这可能预示着近期的避险情绪,增加了比特币和部分山寨币回调的风险。
每日加密货币市场表现。 来源: Coin360
然而,下跌可能不会改变长期看涨观点。 投资者可能将每次下跌视为买入机会,因为比特币即将在四月份减半,这在历史上一直是看涨事件。
可能阻止比特币和山寨币下跌的重要支撑位是什么? 让我们分析一下前 10 名加密货币的图表来找出答案。
比特币价格分析
比特币正在努力维持在 52,000 美元上方,表明空头正在激烈捍卫该水平。
BTC/USDT 日线图。 来源: TradingView
如果价格跌破 50,000 美元,短线交易者可能会放弃并获利了结。 这可能会将 BTC/USDT 货币对拉至 20 天指数移动平均线(48,842 美元)。
如果价格从 20 日均线强力反弹,则表明市场情绪依然乐观,交易者正在较低水平买入。 这将增加反弹至 52,000 美元上方的可能性。 随后该货币对可能会跃升至 60,000 美元。
相反,如果价格继续走低并跌破 20 日均线,则将标志着开始回调至 50 日简单移动平均线(44,924 美元)。
以太币价格分析
2月21日,以太坊(ETH)从3000美元的心理阻力位回落,表明短线交易者获利了结。
ETH/USDT 日线图。 来源: TradingView
在强劲的上升趋势中,修正通常会持续一到三天。 下行的关键支撑位是 2,717 美元。 如果价格从 2,717 美元强力反弹,则表明每次小幅下跌都被积极买入。 这将增强其突破 3,000 美元的前景。 随后 ETH/USDT 货币对可能会上涨至 3,300 美元。
相反,如果空头将价格拉低至 20 日均线(2,680 美元)下方,则将预示着 50 日均线(2,467 美元)将开始进一步修正。
BNB价格分析
币安币(BNB)经过短暂调整后回升,并于 2 月 21 日飙升至 367 美元阻力位上方,标志着上升趋势的恢复。
BNB/USDT 日线图。 来源: TradingView
The upsloping moving averages and the RSI in the overbought zone indicate that the bulls are in command. If buyers maintain the price above $368, the BNB/USDT pair could pick up momentum and surge toward $400.
The first support on the downside is at the 20-day EMA ($336) and the next is the 50-day SMA ($315). The bears will have to yank the price below the 50-day SMA to indicate a trend change.
Solana price analysis
Solana’s (SOL) rebound fizzled out at $115, and the price turned down on Feb. 19, indicating a lack of demand at higher levels.
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears pulled the price below the neckline of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on Feb. 21, signaling that the bullish momentum has weakened. The 50-day SMA may act as a support, but it may not hold for long. If the support cracks, the SOL/USDT pair could start a decline to $93, which is an important level to keep an eye on.
The first sign of strength will be a rise above the downtrend line. The pair could then attempt a rally to the overhead resistance of $126.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) closed above the downtrend line on Feb. 19, but the bulls could not clear the hurdle at $0.57. This suggests that every minor relief rally is being sold into.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears are trying to pull the price below the moving averages. If they succeed, the XRP/USDT pair could dip toward the strong support at $0.46. Buyers are expected to defend this level with vigor.
If the price rebounds off $0.46, the pair could climb to $0.57 and stay inside this range for some time. A break and close above $0.57 will suggest that the corrective phase may be over. The pair could then attempt a rally to $0.67.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) turned down from $0.64 on Feb. 20, suggesting profit booking by the short-term traders. The price could reach the 20-day EMA ($0.57).
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
Buyers will have to defend the 20-day EMA aggressively if they want to keep the up move intact. If they do that, the ADA/USDT pair could rise to $0.64 and eventually to $0.68. A break and close above this resistance will signal the start of the next leg of the uptrend.
On the contrary, if the price tumbles below the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that the bullish momentum has weakened. The pair may then consolidate inside a large range between $0.46 and $0.64 for a while.
Avalanche price analysis
The bulls defended the 50-day SMA ($36) on Feb. 20, but the bears sold the recovery to the 20-day EMA ($38.22) in Avalanche (AVAX).
AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The 20-day EMA has flattened out, and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a range-bound action in the near term. If the price breaks below the 50-day SMA, the AVAX/USDT pair may drop to $32, which is likely to act as a strong support. A solid rebound off the support could keep the pair between $32 and $42 for a few days.
On the upside, the bulls will have to drive and sustain the pair above $42 to complete the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern and gain the upper hand.
Related: Michael Saylor to forever buy Bitcoin — ‘No reason to sell the winner’
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) bounced off the 20-day EMA ($0.08) on Feb. 18, but the bulls could not overcome the barrier at $0.09. This suggests a negative sentiment where the bears are selling on rallies.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price skids below the moving averages, the DOT/USDT pair could drop to the uptrend line. This is an essential level for the bulls to defend because if they fail to do that, the pair may start a descent to $0.07.
This negative view will be invalidated in the short term if the price rebounds off the current level and rises above $0.09. That opens the doors for a possible rally to the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone.
Chainlink price analysis
Chainlink (LINK) bounced off the 20-day EMA ($18.81) on Feb. 20, but the bulls could not build upon the recovery. The price turned down and slipped below the 20-day EMA on Feb. 21.
LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The next stop on the downside is the breakout level of $17.32. This level may witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears. If the price rebounds off $17.32 with strength, the LINK/USDT pair may rise to the 20-day EMA and later to the overhead resistance at $20.85.
The zone between $17.32 and the 50-day SMA ($16.51) is likely to act as a formidable support on the downside. A break below this zone will suggest a potential trend change in the near term.
Polkadot price analysis
Polkadot’s (DOT) recovery stalled near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $8.21, indicating that bears continue to sell on rallies.
DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The DOT/USDT pair has reached the 50-day SMA ($7.18), which is an important level to watch out for. If this level gives way, it will suggest that the bulls are losing their grip. The pair could then drop to the neckline and subsequently to $6.
The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint suggest a range-bound action in the near term. If the price rebounds off the neckline, the pair could reach $8.21 and stay range-bound between these two levels for some time. The bulls will be back in the game on a close above $8.21.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.